Thursday, October 22, 2009

Gini Coefficient

The Gini Coefficient is a mathematical formula invented by an eponymous Italian mathematician in 1912. It is a tool favored by economists to figure out wealth distribution. The map above comes from our friends at Leon Panetta's agency (the current head of the CIA used to be my Congressman years ago. I rate him a Good Guy). I honestly don't understand Corrado Gini's work except through a foggy veil of half understood misunderstandings, but let it be sufficient to note that economists do and they love his graph. We the people need to love the Gini Index as well because it tells us how poor we are. It does it with no regards to politics, the size of the economy or anything else. It's just a bunch of very revealing numbers. The fact that the Gini Index isn't in popular circulation may give you a hint of the irrefutably nasty news it contains.
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If you look at the Mercator projection of the world shown up, and without enlarging the picture note the colors. Yellow indicates a lower Gini Coefficient, places where income is evenly distributed. Gray indicates places with such basket case economies it can't be measured, which is another way of indicating extreme inequality. Blues are more unequal than greens but purples trump everybody else.
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Obviously Southern Africa and Brazil lead the way with China, Latin America and...the US in the same upper regions of peasant inequality. Europe and Canada show the fairest distribution of wealth. Obviously it's important to understand that with these statistics in use comparing the US, minorities will be disproportionately represented in the ladder of wealth, and white middle class people will be bunched further up the curve. However the news gets worse.
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The rate of change in the Gini Coefficient in the US is accelerating. More people are accumulating more wealth at the expense of the many. The white middle class huddling in a corner hoping for relief and the return of the American Dream are being picked off and dumped into tent cities alongside the poor blacks and browns that always live on the margins of our economy.
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Economics is a zero sum game and it's time to accept that. In other words there is only so much wealth to go around. So for every billion accumulated by a CEO on Wall Street there is one less billion to be shared by the rest. Republican supply side economists will try to tell you that wealth is infinite even though common sense should tell you that nothing in life is infinite. They will also tell you that a rising tide raises all boats, such that if corporations make more money, more cash flows to the workers. Not so. Average income levels mean nothing if you have ten people in a company and one makes a million bucks and the rest make a dollar each. The "average wage" would be somewhere around 100,000 dollars each, and obviously in my simplified example that simply isn't the case.
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Even if you believe a rising tide raises all boats ask yourself why your parents could raise a family on one income a generation ago and now even two incomes struggle to do the same. There should be no doubt in anyone's mind that there is something seriously messed up in a system that sees greater and greater income inequality, less purchasing power and increasing insecurity. This isn't just unfair, this is a situation that leads to instability, and ultimately social collapse. And history shows that this is inevitably what happens when income inequality gets out of hand.

13 comments:

Unknown said...

Mr Conchscooter:

I am just amazed at your depth of knowledge. I just went to Wilipedia and found "your" Gini map of the world. I am thankful that I live in the Yellow zone. There is room for you up here too, just take your Fahrenheit temps and replace it with "c" for celcius, wear an extra sweater and you will fit right in.

bob
bobskoot: wet coast scootin

Jack Riepe said...

Dear Conch:

From each according to his means and to each according to his needs sounds great... But it is an incredible killer of incentive. I'm sorry you never met my Russian wife. Kindly read PJ O'Rouke's "Eat The Rich."

I am walking away from this one... Walking backwards... With my eye on everyone in the room...

Fondest regards,
Jack • reep • Toad
Twisted Roads

Conchscooter said...

Walk away. Anyone who thinks I am two dimensional enough to be a Marxist isn't paying attention. There again if you can't see ANY difference between republicans and demcorats...my essays on what I see being wrong with the economy won't be worth your while.
I just want to look back and remember what I thought as this continuing mess unfolds. 20% unemployment doe snot promise a quick or even acertain recovery. The last time things were this bad we all ended up in a world war.
I enjoy posting pictures but I like to think too.

Jack Riepe said...

Dear Sir:

Your essays are always worth reading. But a forced (or voluntary) redistribution of wealth is even less likely that a decent healthcare reform bill. I am walking away because there is a lot I'd like to say, and I must absolutely write 2,000 revenue-generating words tonight, for an event in Europe (tomorrow)... And its tomorrow there already.

I was just thinking yesterday that the only way out of the Great Depression was supplied to us by the Japanese. They are not likely to be so cooperative this time.

But I can assure you there is a good shot that we are looking at a 6- to 10-year (very slow) recovery.

And nothing is being done to turn employment around, or to even prevent this same shit mess from occurring again.

And I do see two gangs of thieves in Washington.

I don't mind if you like to think and write it down. But sometimes I answer... And you see I think a lot too.

Fondest regards,
Toad

Eric Logan said...

Interesting post and comments. Thanks for sharing your views.

Conchscooter said...

I hope I can write my way out of this mess...!

Unknown said...

I'd like to take a different look at your essay. You ask why our parents could raise a family on one salary and we cannot. I did it. It wasn't always easy. I didn't always have pretty clothes and we each home 98% of the time. (My husband kids that I'm a pioneer housewife). I worked for a little while when my kids started school. I worked in the school they attended as a teacher. I barely made anything because our lifestyle had to change to support my job. I quit and I even homeschooled my kids (for ten years...they are now a 23 year old who graduated from college in 3 1/2 years summa cum laude, Phi Beta Cappa who got a job right out of school as the web developer for Drexel University's library systems and a 25 year old critical care RN who went for the BSN and just got the MSN....both girls are gainfully employed and love their jobs!).

My point is that I think most people CAN raise a family on one salary if they do it the way our parents did it. I don't know about you but I got gifts on my birthday and Christmas. My mother made my clothes. My father cut all of our hair. And we ate meatloaf and chicken and hamburgers and food that was cooked at home.

I believe that it is possible to raise a family on one salary with some sense and sacrifice.

Conchscooter said...

My hat is off to you Susan. I grew up in a family of privilege ( and fled to the New World to impoverish myself...!). But my point is it used to be normal to raise a family on a single (man's, always a man's) salary. I just don't see why working people should be struggling when their own tax dollars are being shoveled into the banks
Learning to make do will be the norm as we get closer and closer to a feudal society.

Unknown said...

I likewise can't believe our government is doing what it is doing financially. The reason we (my family) are okay is because I've run a tight budget and (as my husband likes to say) I have a rock head. He means that in the nicest possible way. I worry for my daughters' futures. What will their lives be like if things keep going like they do. I'm glad I'm not their age. And isn't that sad? And I agree...we should be able to enjoy our hard earned money. What I tell my daughters is you should manage your money, your money shouldn't manage you. But with the state of our country's economy and the world's how easy is that to do?

My husband is after me to buy gold. Gold coins specifically. Any thoughts?

Conchscooter said...

I did at $750 but I have no idea what the coins will really be worth in the event inflation takes hold. It's just a way to try to cover all bases. If defaltion gets a grip gold may be hard to sell.

Unknown said...

Gold is over $1,000 an ounce today. Should have been smart like you!

Eric Logan said...

Thought you might find this article worth a read http://curiouscapitalist.blogs.time.com/2009/10/26/the-semi-return-of-the-gold-standard/

Conchscooter said...

I think the problem with a gold standard is that you lose the ability to borrow. The economic shock of printing only so many dollars as the US government can cover with bullion would cause...I have no idea what, but I think it would mess up an economic system world-wide that is predicated on credit.