Tropical Storm Dorian Takes Aim

Well bugger. The National Hurricane Center has called it again. Earlier they predicted what we see today, a weakening of the low over the Bahamas which has brought the storm's track further to the south. Now the prediction puts the storm north of the big islands of the Caribbean, the so called Greater Antilles, whose mountains tend to break storms apart. Yet the current track is not curving far north which means Key West looks like a possible target. The good news is track prediction this far out is not completely accurate, but strength prediction is reasonably accurate so we can hope this thing won't strengthen into a full blown hurricane, and the National Hurricane Center is holding that out as a possibility at this stage. Wind and rain and not too much of either, please!

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As of Saturday morning the National Hurricane Center in Miami is downgrading TS Dorian and is predicting it will fizzle out into an inchoate rainy mess over Puerto Rico. So much the better.

Posted with Blogsy

Tropical Storm Dorian

It became an orange spot off the coast of Africa, denoting a reasonable chance of storm formation, and now Tropical Storm Dorian, as the spot is formally known, is headed toward the northeast corner of the Caribbean...but massive development is not yet on the cards, they tell us. Some forecasters think Dorian may weaken irretrievably from its current 50mph spinning speed but the National Hurricane Center in Miami isn't so sure about that. At the moment its far too far away to know anything much but next week things will be clearer. I'd like a quick bout of rain to save me watering and a return to hot sun and blue skies, thank you.

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As  of Saturday morning the National Hurricane Center indicated the storm is  dissipating and should soon turn back inot  a tropical wave of wind and rain of manageable proportions. Good news all round.